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metoxys

Testing different Inside Track (horse racing) betting strategies

Recommended Posts

Aznknight

Did a 50 run test:

New probabilities are below. This is after R* made $6 Billion last week. That's six thousand millions for all of you.

 

Out of 50 runs:

#1: 26% (13 wins) 

#2: 26% (13 wins)

#3: 16% (8 wins)

#4: 16% (8 wins)

#5: 14% (7 wins)

#6: 2% (1 win)

 

As a thank you to their customers, Rockstar will be taking more of your money.

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ACR

Low chance to win for good odds, it was different 2-3 days ago. I think i'm done with this, they nerfed it and it's not worthy anymore...

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LennyGhoul

When 2:1 only pays out 26% that's some shady sh*t. 

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mute!

20190801162059-1.jpg

cha-ching!

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CMCSAVAGE

EA6JAHKXsAMK-Pm?format=jpg&name=900x900

cha-ching!

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Mdc
2 hours ago, ACR said:

Low chance to win for good odds, it was different 2-3 days ago. I think i'm done with this, they nerfed it and it's not worthy anymore...

 

To be fair though all the time this max bet glitch is going the odds are always in our favour. I'd take 20k chips on horse 1 at evens for a $200 bet... Quietly... Without complaining.

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mareepx

Doesn't feel like they've changed anything to me.

 

I went to casino monday with 50k chips, finished monday with 350k. Then finished tuesday with 800k. And finished wednesday with 1.5m. Just come off today after an hour of horse races at 2m.

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toguraum
1 minute ago, mareepx said:

Doesn't feel like they've changed anything to me.

 

I went to casino monday with 50k chips, finished monday with 350k. Then finished tuesday with 800k. And finished wednesday with 1.5m. Just come off today after an hour of horse races at 2m.

Wow, how are you doing this, this is great. I'm bad at math though, can't understand nothing of that reddit thread.

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Aznknight
7 minutes ago, mareepx said:

Doesn't feel like they've changed anything to me.

 

I went to casino monday with 50k chips, finished monday with 350k. Then finished tuesday with 800k. And finished wednesday with 1.5m. Just come off today after an hour of horse races at 2m.

If you can, are you able to track your results? 

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mareepx
20 minutes ago, Aznknight said:

If you can, are you able to track your results? 

I could, but that would be a lot of effort - I don't get much time to play because of work and out of that time I don't want to spend all that time horse racing. I put something on youtube and watch it whilst I keep half an eye on the odds screen betting.

 

I am following a strategy I read on reddit where you bet on the favourite as long as it's 2/1, 3/1, or 4/1 and the second favourite is 5/1 or higher. That is all.

 

I did have more losses in a row today - nine - but I did also get more wins in a row - five and four respectively.

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Shaundi.

If only this stuff stayed low-key on reddit, this forum and other forums, horse 1 with 4/1 or 3/1 odds winning 100% of the time would always happen, instead garbage youtubers announce this like a baby gender reveal on a rooftop for everyone to see and hear, including Rockstar.

 

GTA youtubers are lowest of the low, worse than CoD, Overwatch, Fallout and Cyberpunk 2077 youtubers combined.

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ACR

Picked even horse against 5/1 and higher and he loosed to 15/1 lol. f*ck this sh*t. Wouldn't bother me at all if i could buy as many chips as i want instead of only 50k per 48min. Worst of all, decorations are on rotation, so if i miss something i gotta wait for it to be available again who knows when. Should've been option to purchase casino store items with gta cash also, but R* made a way to artificially extend lifespan of update. Good job...

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FuturePastNow

I don't think there's any connection between the odds it shows and the actual background percentages. It's super shady but seems simple enough to game the system by skipping evens, equals, and 2:1s and always betting in #1.

 

I also spent a couple hours experimenting by doing the same but betting on #6 exclusively, and made more money (a LOT more money at first, followed by a 40 minute losing streak that brought the total down considerably). That's a much riskier strategy, but then it is called gambling.

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kenmy13999

AFK horse betting..

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CloudFuel
Posted (edited)

Took some time to track my results with the 4-1 / 5-1 approach. YMMV.

Number of bets: 100
Number of wins: 35
Win percentage: 35%

Amount per bet: $10,000
Total amount bet: $1,000,000
Amount won: $1,750,000
Total profit: $750,000

Edited by CloudFuel

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EkaSwede
11 hours ago, CMCSAVAGE said:

EA6JAHKXsAMK-Pm?format=jpg&name=900x900

cha-ching!

Money to burn indeed! 171AF50FB34C92A5BFDA634FEFA8756732626081

 

But back on topic. Wow, they actually nerfed the Inside Track? The fact that it now apparently cuts the win rate of the horse you pick is really f*cking shady. Now they just confirm my stupid, idiotic theory that "Horse 1 only wins if you don't bet on it"

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CloudFuel

I just started running into this issue when backing out and attempting to "re-roll" for specific odds (4-1/5-1 or 5-1/5-1). I didn't experience this previously. Anyone else?

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Next-Gen Vercettis
1 minute ago, CloudFuel said:

I just started running into this issue when backing out and attempting to "re-roll" for specific odds (4-1/5-1 or 5-1/5-1). I didn't experience this previously. Anyone else?

Lol. I was about to post the same thing. It started the other day for me when the horses went offline. Just happened again now after only 're-rolling' about 10 times and despite having 150k in chips. 

Been checking all these casino threads and was starting to think it was just me. 

 

BTW, I was still able to walk straight to the poker table and play, so the game knows I have chips. 

 

Also this has happened with both characters, the one today was using the horses for the first time. 

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CloudFuel

I've started to go much slower and that seems to be working. I wonder if going so fast makes the game think we're running a macro & maybe R* are cracking down on those.

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Next-Gen Vercettis
8 minutes ago, CloudFuel said:

I've started to go much slower and that seems to be working. I wonder if going so fast makes the game think we're running a macro & maybe R* are cracking down on those.

I actually made a conscious effort to slow down in case I was spamming the buttons too quickly (possible), maybe not slow enough? Just chilling in my penthouse ATM, I'll head downstairs and try again. 

 

Wonder if Fun or somebody knows what causes the message to pop up? 

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CloudFuel

Yea, I think I was just getting lucky and finding the right odds before I hit the "re-roll" cut-off. I've tried standing up after 3 "re-rolls," but even that doesn't seem to work consistently. For now, I'm just limiting my "re-rolls" & betting even if the odds aren't ideal.

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Next-Gen Vercettis
Posted (edited)

@CloudFuel

 

I think it's working for me now. What I'm doing is, 

 

Every time I see the screen with the main event timer, waiting for 3 seconds. 

 

On the main screen, waiting until the animation ends before going back in (I use first person view). 

 

Had about 20 races, betting on around 12 of them with no problem. 

Then I 're-rolled' 11 times in a row without placing a bet and still didn't get the message/kicked off. 

 

 

ETA.. Stood up from the machine to post this in case of timing out, sat back down and 15 more races - mix of bets n back outs - without issue. 

Really sleepy now but if anyone else is having this problem, maybe they can try it too? 

 

Oh and also, I've been watching the numbers in the top right corner and wondering.. 

Edited by Next-Gen Vercettis

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CloudFuel
7 minutes ago, Next-Gen Vercettis said:

@CloudFuel

 

I think it's working for me now. What I'm doing is, 

 

Every time I see the screen with the main event timer, waiting for 3 seconds. 

 

On the main screen, waiting until the animation ends before going back in (I use first person view). 

 

Had about 20 races, betting on around 12 of them with no problem. 

Then I 're-rolled' 11 times in a row without placing a bet and still didn't get the message/kicked off. 

 

Works for me! I just tested going back and forth 20 times without issue.

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Gridl0k
Posted (edited)

I got kicked off too, this is now a real casino, they're bouncing advantage players 😂

 

"You're welcome to play any of our other games, but no more horses for you."

Edited by Gridl0k

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suicidal_banana
Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, CloudFuel said:

I just started running into this issue when backing out and attempting to "re-roll" for specific odds (4-1/5-1 or 5-1/5-1). I didn't experience this previously. Anyone else?

 

I got that yesterday, at first i thought it was a cheater messing with my chips or something, but (like further posts have pointed out too) it seems to be related to speed, if you go full on muscle memory on the thing you end up going so fast it toggles some temporary block, and it looks like every time you get the block its longer then before, so keep that in mind

Edited by suicidal_banana

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Next-Gen Vercettis
5 minutes ago, Gridl0k said:

I got kicked off too, this is now a real casino, they're bouncing advantage players 😂

 

"You're welcome to play any of our other games, but no more horses for you."

You know what they say - 

 

The Houser always wins. 

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LennyGhoul
Posted (edited)

You can play all you want as long as you don't win....

Edited by LennyGhoul

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Gridl0k

I really can't recommend "Inside The Edge" on Amazon enough.

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Tomtomsengermany

This Horse 1 Thing seems to be nerfed.  Isnt it?

 

Horse 2 has won all the money back that ive lost by betting onto horse 1 

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mute!

Yup something has for sure changed but I don't mind because it's more fun this way.

 

I went from around 700 chips this morning to now around 200,

Edit: 700,000 to 200,000.

I was losing a lot with the horse racing than ever before. Most loses from the chips came from max betting in Blackjack*.

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