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DAN HOUSER would be stupid to announce X1/PS4/PC


MMG
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user posted image

Total of: 77.2 million Xbox 360 consoles sold worldwide, March 2013 confirmed

 

user posted image

Total of: 70 million PS3 consoles sold worldwide, November 2012 confirmed

 

___________________________________________

 

According to Dan Houser, R* expects to sell 18 million GTA V units on the Xbox 360 and PS3 by the end of the fiscal year.

 

Number of 7th generation consoles:

147,200,000 Units

 

Number of GTA V expected sales for 7th generation consoles:

18,000,000 Units

 

Market Penetration Rate_12 months:

18,000,000/147,200,000

=12.2%

 

(market penetration rate separates house hold names like gta/cod from games like lego starwars/finding nemo)

 

First of all they are expecting a 12% market penetration, which is almost unreal in a marketing perspective of a dying console.

 

___________________________________________

 

user posted image

8th generation gamers will mostly be active gamers, with consoles coming with a hefty price tag.

 

If 10% of the people who has purchased a Xbox 360 or PS 3 decide to buy the new consoles in the first 12 months,

7,720,000 Xbox One console Sales

6,000,000 PS4 console Sales

 

Total of 13,720,000 Units

 

New consoles coming late Q4, 2013.

 

A loss in market penetration is a loss in marketing value.

(Announcing the 8th gen GTA V itself is a loss of market penetration for the 7th gen because some gamers may hold out to purchase it on the 8th gen)

___________________________________________

 

Say the game in announced for Xbox One and PS4

 

user posted image

And 40% of 8th generation had an eye on purchasing GTA V:

 

Total of 5,488,000 GTA V Units moved

 

Assuming the new games are at an average of $70 a piece world wide,

 

5,488,000 x 70

 

Potential Total revenue:

$384,160,000

 

*Most gamers wont purchase both gen 7 and 8 games.

 

___________________________________________

 

user posted image

 

An 18 million sales projection for 7th generation consoles will result in a net revenue of $1.08 billion.

however, R* will be losing out on $384 million on revenue until the 8th generation console sales pick up.

 

(revenue is not profit)

 

http://ycharts.com/companies/TTWO/enterprise_value

Take Two (2k+R*) an estimated 1.44 billion dollar company,

 

Even if it is temporary, a $400 million slump for a $1.44 billion compnay is a devastating 27% of the stock value.

 

Not to mention, many 8th generation gamers may deter purchase after seeing the game in action on Sept. 17th, 2013.

 

___________________________________________

 

Just from announcing GTA for the 8th generation, R* will lose some of their 7th generation market penetration, and revenue 2013.

 

If R*'s business plan is to sell as many units as possible,

they will not announce the 8th generation GTA V until a later date.

 

This is why the Xbox One and PS4 GTA will not be announced before 2014.

(even PC GTA V)

 

Its coming tho, next year.

Dont hold your breath.

 

user posted image

 

IDK I could be wrong tho, just my thoughts

Edited by MMG
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I see no reason why pc shouldnt come out a month after the ps3/360 release though.

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I like how you are using the facts. Don't see that very often here. After all I read you should know Dan Houser or any of the Housers aren't deciding anything related that much in the business anymore. There are most likely some teams councelling them what they should do.

R* is a company like every other one, they are money-grubbing like most of others. So they won't lose their chance for getting max profit. I am sure they have strategic plans refering the releases and we don't know intern contracts. Or do you really think they are releasing the PC verison later, just because they don't like PCs? No. There are some extra payments for an earlier release for sure. wink.gif

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I know there will be PC and next-gen ports in the future, in 2014, at the very least.

If they port it at during this times, then it's certainly a loss.

But if they somehow manage to "trick" us, then it's the exact opposite of the above line.

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I see no reason why pc shouldnt come out a month after the ps3/360 release though.

because a simple announcement of x1/ps4/pc could spell out a huge loss in market penetration (loss in profit/marketing value),

unless its done at a right time.

18 million 7th generation units of GTA V is a lot of games moved

 

they are coming no doubt, but the announcement wont be before 2014

Edited by MMG
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Vex_Doppel

I gotta say, the pics of that screenshot and gameplay trailer are eating me up right now. I want my game to play like that screen shot. So I wanna wait till PS4, but at the sametime, I really don't wanna wait to play the game.

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I'd wonder if this kind of thing would be applicable if they did to the latest xbox 360 games as they did to the last xbox games - allowing them to be played on the xbox 360, without actually having backwards compatibility. I do know that watch dogs and CoD: Ghosts are being released for each separately, so this probably won't happen. Especially, as you say (which is very well thought-out, I might add), some extra money can be made for not doing this.

 

Some people also point to SA not being on xbox 360, but that was one instance, so isn't really notable.

gwZr6Zc.png

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What is with "even PC", PC is sure that will come, the strange thing is if it comes to xbox 1 / ps4, so you should say "even xbox 1 / ps4".

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I gotta say, the pics of that screenshot and gameplay trailer are eating me up right now. I want my game to play like that screen shot. So I wanna wait till PS4, but at the sametime, I really don't wanna wait to play the game.

One is a closer look and a high res screenshot, other is a still from a video. It can't be compared. It will be better that that still from the video, it won't be as good as the screenshot but won't be much worse either.

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Kill Frenzy!
According to Dan Houser, R* expects to sell 18 million GTA V units on the Xbox 360 and PS3 by the end of 12 months.

 

 

When? Source please smile.gif

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According to Dan Houser, R* expects to sell 18 million GTA V units on the Xbox 360 and PS3 by the end of 12 months.

 

 

When? Source please smile.gif

http://lmgtfy.com/?q=gta+5+sales+projections

 

various sources:

http://www.examiner.com/article/gta-5-unit...ssed-by-analyst

http://mp1st.com/2013/02/06/gta-v-expected...-budget-growth/

 

also heard in a dan houser interview by the end of the fiscal year.

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Frantz Fuchs

If Modern Warfare 3 can sell 28 million, why can't V sell 18m? I think it will sell even more than 18. around 22-25m is my guess.

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If Modern Warfare 3 can sell 28 million, why can't V sell 18m? I think it will sell even more than 18. around 22-25m is my guess.

estimated 18m at march 2014,

they could probably sell like 50m in its lifetime which is impressive nonetheless

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user posted image

Total of: 77.2 million Xbox 360 consoles sold worldwide, March 2013 confirmed

 

user posted image

Total of: 70 million PS3 consoles sold worldwide, November 2012 confirmed

 

___________________________________________

 

According to Dan Houser, R* expects to sell 18 million GTA V units on the Xbox 360 and PS3 by the end of the fiscal year.

 

Number of 7th generation consoles:

147,200,000 Units

 

Number of GTA V expected sales for 7th generation consoles:

18,000,000 Units

 

Market Penetration Rate_12 months:

18,000,000/147,200,000

=12.2%

 

(market penetration rate separates house hold names like gta/cod from games like lego starwars/finding nemo)

 

First of all they are expecting a 12% market penetration, which is almost unreal in a marketing perspective of a dying console.

 

___________________________________________

 

user posted image

8th generation gamers will mostly be active gamers, with consoles coming with a hefty price tag.

 

If 10% of the people who has purchased a Xbox 360 or PS 3 decide to buy the new consoles in the first 12 months,

7,720,000 Xbox One console Sales

6,000,000 PS4 console Sales

 

Total of 13,720,000 Units

 

New consoles coming late Q4, 2013.

 

A loss in market penetration is a loss in marketing value.

(Announcing the 8th gen GTA V itself is a loss of market penetration for the 7th gen because some gamers may hold out to purchase it on the 8th gen)

___________________________________________

 

Say the game in announced for Xbox One and PS4

 

user posted image

And 40% of 8th generation had an eye on purchasing GTA V:

 

Total of 5,488,000 GTA V Units moved

 

Assuming the new games are at an average of $70 a piece world wide,

 

5,488,000 x 70

 

Potential Total revenue:

$384,160,000

 

*Most gamers wont purchase both gen 7 and 8 games.

 

___________________________________________

 

user posted image

 

An 18 million sales projection for 7th generation consoles will result in a net revenue of $1.08 billion.

however, R* will be losing out on $384 million on revenue until the 8th generation console sales pick up.

 

(revenue is not profit)

 

http://ycharts.com/companies/TTWO/enterprise_value

Take Two (2k+R*) an estimated 1.44 billion dollar company,

 

Even if it is temporary, a $400 million slump for a $1.44 billion compnay is a devastating 27% of the stock value.

 

Not to mention, many 8th generation gamers may deter purchase after seeing the game in action on Sept. 17th, 2013.

 

___________________________________________

 

Just from announcing GTA for the 8th generation, R* will lose some of their 7th generation market penetration, and revenue 2013.

 

If R*'s business plan is to sell as many units as possible,

they will not announce the 8th generation GTA V until a later date.

 

This is why the Xbox One and PS4 GTA will not be announced before 2014.

(even PC GTA V)

 

Its coming tho, next year.

Dont hold your breath.

 

user posted image

 

IDK I could be wrong tho, just my thoughts

Can you atleast get the right information. PS3 has surpass the 360 in sales now. Either change it or delete this thread.

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I gotta say, the pics of that screenshot and gameplay trailer are eating me up right now. I want my game to play like that screen shot. So I wanna wait till PS4, but at the sametime, I really don't wanna wait to play the game.

The trailer vs. screenshot comparison has always been bogus. They are not the same moment nor is the lighting due to time of day or weather the same. Assuming the exploding house scene is entirely scripted, the time of the still from the trailer is 63 frames earlier than the time the screenshot was captured. This can be determined by the position of the window shutter falling from the top floor, which falls into the same position as seen in the screenshot. At the moment of the screenshot, the trailer uses a different camera angle and Trevor has already walked out of frame.

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I see no reason why pc shouldnt come out a month after the ps3/360 release though.

because a simple announcement of x1/ps4/pc could spell out a huge loss in market penetration (loss in profit/marketing value),

unless its done at a right time.

18 million 7th generation units of GTA V is a lot of games moved

 

they are coming no doubt, but the announcement wont be before 2014

He's saying just the PC, though. Most of the people who are getting it for PC already have a PC to begin with. Good thread nonetheless.

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user posted image

Total of: 70 million PS3 consoles sold worldwide, November 2012 confirmed

 

Can you atleast get the right information. PS3 has surpass the 360 in sales now. Either change it or delete this thread.

 

can you read?

even if its its data from november 2012, my logic is sound and professional.

and this not an official business report for a company, it doesnt need to be sales data as of June 1st, 2013.

NO ONES PAYING ME FOR THIS SO YOU CANT TELL ME TO DO sh*t

 

according to you all 2012 textbooks are wrong because they use examples from 2011 to prove a point.

thanks for contributing nothing and youre welcome.

Edited by MMG
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Teh Edgiest Man on Earth

 

can you read?

even if its its data from november 2012, my logic is sound and professional.

and this not an official business report for a company, it doesnt need to be sales data as of June 1st, 2013.

NO ONES PAYING ME FOR THIS SO YOU CANT TELL ME TO DO sh*t

 

according to you all 2012 textbooks are wrong because they use examples from 2011 to prove a point.

thanks for contributing nothing and youre welcome.

Jesus f*ck, was it really necessary to stretch the entire page?

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can you read?

even if its its data from november 2012, my logic is sound and professional.

and this not an official business report for a company, it doesnt need to be sales data as of June 1st, 2013.

NO ONES PAYING ME FOR THIS SO YOU CANT TELL ME TO DO sh*t

 

according to you all 2012 textbooks are wrong because they use examples from 2011 to prove a point.

thanks for contributing nothing and youre welcome.

Jesus f*ck, was it really necessary to stretch the entire page?

yes it was, I'm a calm person but this dude would piss me off as well, what a f*cktard

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Geralt of Rivia
Can you atleast get the right information. PS3 has surpass the 360 in sales now. Either change it or delete this thread.

It's a good thing you know how to read.

 

Oh wait...

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Kill Frenzy!
According to Dan Houser, R* expects to sell 18 million GTA V units on the Xbox 360 and PS3 by the end of 12 months.

 

 

When? Source please smile.gif

http://lmgtfy.com/?q=gta+5+sales+projections

 

various sources:

http://www.examiner.com/article/gta-5-unit...ssed-by-analyst

http://mp1st.com/2013/02/06/gta-v-expected...-budget-growth/

 

also heard in a dan houser interview by the end of the fiscal year.

Thanks.

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user posted image

Total of: 70 million PS3 consoles sold worldwide, November 2012 confirmed

 

Can you atleast get the right information. PS3 has surpass the 360 in sales now. Either change it or delete this thread.

 

can you read?

even if its its data from november 2012, my logic is sound and professional.

and this not an official business report for a company, it doesnt need to be sales data as of June 1st, 2013.

NO ONES PAYING ME FOR THIS SO YOU CANT TELL ME TO DO sh*t

 

according to you all 2012 textbooks are wrong because they use examples from 2011 to prove a point.

thanks for contributing nothing and youre welcome.

The only thing you prove to point is nothing. This is once again another useless thread in the GTA V forum. Your logic is just a guess nothing more or less. I suggest you leave. PS4 will out sell the Xbox one with all the information given and even that still is a guess.

 

@Masterfocker I think you need to learn how to read. He is saying base on that information the Xbox one will sell more. But in reality there is more hate on Xbox One and there is also more people that bought PS3 which go against what he said.

Edited by redx165
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Now suddenly this is a console war thread.

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user posted image

Total of: 70 million PS3 consoles sold worldwide, November 2012 confirmed

 

Can you atleast get the right information. PS3 has surpass the 360 in sales now. Either change it or delete this thread.

 

can you read?

even if its its data from november 2012, my logic is sound and professional.

and this not an official business report for a company, it doesnt need to be sales data as of June 1st, 2013.

NO ONES PAYING ME FOR THIS SO YOU CANT TELL ME TO DO sh*t

 

according to you all 2012 textbooks are wrong because they use examples from 2011 to prove a point.

thanks for contributing nothing and youre welcome.

The only thing you prove to point is nothing. This is once again another useless thread in the GTA V forum. Your logic is just a guess nothing more or less. I suggest you leave. PS4 will out sell the Xbox one with all the information given and even that still is a guess.

 

@Masterfocker I think you need to learn how to read. He is saying base on that information the Xbox one will sell more. But in reality there is more hate on Xbox One and there is also more people that bought PS3 which go against what he said.

quote me saying x1 will sell more than ps4.

are you having a bad day redx165?

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The delays have nothing to do with next gen. NOTHING! (irony is on the air)

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Don_Corleone

user posted image

Total of: 70 million PS3 consoles sold worldwide, November 2012 confirmed

 

Can you atleast get the right information. PS3 has surpass the 360 in sales now. Either change it or delete this thread.

 

can you read?

even if its its data from november 2012, my logic is sound and professional.

and this not an official business report for a company, it doesnt need to be sales data as of June 1st, 2013.

NO ONES PAYING ME FOR THIS SO YOU CANT TELL ME TO DO sh*t

 

according to you all 2012 textbooks are wrong because they use examples from 2011 to prove a point.

thanks for contributing nothing and youre welcome.

The only thing you prove to point is nothing. This is once again another useless thread in the GTA V forum. Your logic is just a guess nothing more or less. I suggest you leave. PS4 will out sell the Xbox one with all the information given and even that still is a guess.

 

@Masterfocker I think you need to learn how to read. He is saying base on that information the Xbox one will sell more. But in reality there is more hate on Xbox One and there is also more people that bought PS3 which go against what he said.

Go be a playstation fanboy on a different forum, this has nothing to do with it

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