My Timeline Prediction

[NYC PATROL]

Well, some of you may have the same theory as me(or heard of this one) but hey why not put it out there as it makes a good amount

of sense than most others.

• Nov. 2011-

  GTA V premiere trailer

  releases

^ (putting things into perspective)

• April 2012-

  GTA V world exclusive preview

  via magazine

• May 2012 - October 2012-

  Rockstar gives in house previews / new screenshots to multiple gaming sites.

• October 2012-

  GTA V releases in late October

The prediction: October 23 for NA and October 26 for EU and other various regions.

 

some notes:

GTA IV was slated for Oct. 2007, if GTA V releases

in October next year would be 5 years to that original date. Also would

be 4 years, 6 months from IV's "actual" release date.

GTA games are very well known for their October release dates.

 

The main part of this topic:

 

Another thing, personally I don't think R* wants to derail the hype for Max Payne 3

too much. Releasing any groundbreaking details of V before mp3 hits shelves imo would

interfere with mp3 marketing.Plus, an October 2012 release gives Rockstar plenty of time to do testing(get rid of bugs), polish etc.

There would also be ample time for R* to market the game, hype it up again over the spring, summer.

 

About the "rumored" May release. I know many people are saying oh its not to close to mp3's release etc.

Well, in R* eyes why would they want to have two big games so close to each other. Each needs there space to thrive, sell.

 

And listen I know most of you will take this as just another "one of those topics" but im just trying to be

realistic here. Im trying to get into the heads of Take Two and Rockstar predicting how they do their marketing.

 

 

I also did take into consideration that V looks well ahead into development more so than when we first saw IV.

Edited December 7, 2011 by NYC PATROL

[BroboT800]

I can definitely see a Oct. 2012 release, but I believe we'll get more info well before April

[Forzum]

Could work yeah, but I believe an October release is to late for them, as Take Two plans to earn a 2$ per share from April 2012 - March 2013, last time they did that was when they released GTA IV. So if they release V as late as October it might be to late to earn in that, but maybe. And V is said to have been in development for a long time and in summer or what it was it was said that "they had gotten far" with it, so maybe now they are fixing the "last" parts. They are also looking for game testers, which has to be for V as MP3 is not from Rockstar North.

 

But I still think Rockstar can and maybe will release V in May, as they almost all the time plans to release their titles 6 months after they have been shown, & it would barley affect MP3 at all as it's a game that only "some" people know about, meanwhile GTA is a known worldwide, which gets new kind of players all the time.

 

May-June I believe in, they can make it.

[Hydro_PlayboyX]

this is my prediction

 

January 2012:

2nd trailer, some info

 

March 2012:

3rd trailer

 

April 2012:

gameplay series

 

May 2012

4th trailer

release in late may

[MrcTOtheJ]

Good theory, it is plausible, though I think/hope a mid 2012 release happens, say around June/July.

 

Gives MP3 some ample time to sell, and then it's a good time to release to make the profit that Forzum was talking about.

 

Here's how I see it going down.

 

December 2011:

VGA Trailer (Maybe not sure if this will happen) Maybe a release date announcement.

 

Late January/Early February 2012:

Some Stills and some game play info, nothing big, for sure release date announcement. Maybe a Magazine preview, rumor has it that Game Informer is geting some sort of exclusive thing from R* around this time.

 

March 2012:

2nd/3rd Trailer (depends on if a VGA trailer comes)

 

June 2012:

Nothing month till release Rockstar will go back to utter Silence First TV ads start later in the month.

 

July 2012:

TV Ads continue. GTAV is released in the middle or later part of the month.

 

 

It’s pretty much 100% speculation, but I have a good feeling about it being release early to mid next year, I don’t know why, maybe it’s naïve hope on my part.

[HeNDo6750]

this might be a not so good theory of what im going to say but what if V = May instead of October but i could be wrong though

[Slamman]

I'm having a similar debate about Red Dead Redemption and a successor, a full fledged console edition or PC version for it. Max Payne, Agent, all the irons are in the fire with Rockstar Games, let's just admit they're not concentrating efforts on one game in particular, but they are likely putting priority on Max Payne3

[UberChargedCJ]

Good theory, it is plausible, though I think/hope a mid 2012 release happens, say around June/July.

 

Gives MP3 some ample time to sell, and then it's a good time to release to make the profit that Forzum was talking about.

 

Here's how I see it going down.

 

December 2011:

VGA Trailer (Maybe not sure if this will happen) Maybe a release date announcement.

 

Late January/Early February 2012:

Some Stills and some game play info, nothing big, for sure release date announcement. Maybe a Magazine preview, rumor has it that Game Informer is geting some sort of exclusive thing from R* around this time.

 

March 2012:

2nd/3rd Trailer (depends on if a VGA trailer comes)

 

June 2012:

Nothing month till release Rockstar will go back to utter Silence First TV ads start later in the month.

 

July 2012:

TV Ads continue. GTAV is released in the middle or later part of the month.

 

 

It’s pretty much 100% speculation, but I have a good feeling about it being release early to mid next year, I don’t know why, maybe it’s naïve hope on my part.

i want to see their TV ad in my country to

[TyphoonJames]

I would hate for there to be nothing before April 2012. I'd be verging on insanity.

[EagleStrike 20]

Good theory, it is plausible, though I think/hope a mid 2012 release happens, say around June/July.

 

 

Name one major game that has EVER been released in June/July/August. I can think of absolutely zero.

 

The reason for this is that most people don't pay attention to video games during the summer I guess and so companies want as many people in jobs/school that are bored out of their mind, eye glued to TVs at night, to release games.

 

Most major games come out in the fall. I was extremely surprised when such a huge game as GTA IV came out in April. The second quarter is usually reserved for the more piece of sh*t games such as that game Homefront.

 

My guess would be April or May because GTA IV came out in April. I would never guess this for big games but because of that precedent they set I will go with this. It's much more likely to be in September/October/November though. The only way to really know is how much information is released in the next trailer. If there is a lot of gameplay or lots of reveals it will be a 1st early 2nd quarter release. If they are more conservative on information then it's gonna be a third quarter.

[mediocore]

Does anyone know the time period between past GTA games being announced and then released?

 

Might help put things into perspective a bit.

[domnage]

 

this is my prediction

 

January 2012:

2nd trailer, some info

 

March 2012:

3rd trailer

 

April 2012:

gameplay series

 

May 2012

4th trailer

release in late may

i think they wont make gameplay series. gta is bigger than everything and theyll keep everything secret until release.

[Fireboyd78]

Take-Two's fiscal year has changed to April 2012 - March 2013. Usually, to maximize profits, a game is released at the beginning of a fiscal year so it can run the span of the entire fiscal year. What's the point of releasing GTA V in October 2012, giving them a whopping 4 months to reap a profit on such a big game? This is the thing nobody seems to understand here, past GTA's were released in October because of the fiscal year. Not because it's some set in stone tradition.

[mediocore]

Take-Two's fiscal year has changed to April 2012 - March 2013. Usually, to maximize profits, a game is released at the beginning of a fiscal year so it can run the span of the entire fiscal year. What's the point of releasing GTA V in October 2012, giving them a whopping 4 months to reap a profit on such a big game? This is the thing nobody seems to understand here, past GTA's were released in October because of the fiscal year. Not because it's some set in stone tradition.

With Max Payne being Rockstar's big release for the summer, I really don't see them wanted to compete with themselves for sales.

[zachmt123]

Good theory, but I think that we are going to get more information before April and I think it will be released around August.

[locolow2011]

 

Take-Two's fiscal year has changed to April 2012 - March 2013. Usually, to maximize profits, a game is released at the beginning of a fiscal year so it can run the span of the entire fiscal year. What's the point of releasing GTA V in October 2012, giving them a whopping 4 months to reap a profit on such a big game? This is the thing nobody seems to understand here, past GTA's were released in October because of the fiscal year. Not because it's some set in stone tradition.

This.

 

Also GTA IVs first trailer was released in late March, add 6 months and 2 weeks and you get the original release date before it was delayed, which was October 16 2007.

 

Now here's the interesting part, you add 6 months and 14 days to November 2nd and guess what you get.....

 

 

You got it: May 24th 2012

[DS 17]

Take-Two's fiscal year has changed to April 2012 - March 2013. Usually, to maximize profits, a game is released at the beginning of a fiscal year so it can run the span of the entire fiscal year. What's the point of releasing GTA V in October 2012, giving them a whopping 4 months to reap a profit on such a big game? This is the thing nobody seems to understand here, past GTA's were released in October because of the fiscal year. Not because it's some set in stone tradition.

This.

 

Also GTA IVs first trailer was released in late March, add 6 months and 2 weeks and you get the original release date before it was delayed, which was October 16 2007.

 

Now here's the interesting part, you add 6 months and 14 days to November 2nd and guess what you get.....

 

 

You got it: May 24th 2012

Not possible that this is a coincidence. And I m sure R* wont let us wait for so long until Feb or April for the next informations. That would be too long.

I guess we will see something this year and a second trailer in Jan / Feb. Probably February.

[jjwilson]

Rockstar could dominate the summer period with GTA5, its the only game that could take money away from the big film releases. Im going for a may release.

[The Notorious MOB]

Comment Removed Edited December 4, 2011 by Money Over Bullshit

[Black Sunshine]

I remember whenever they advertised GTA IV they would put:

 

IV/29/08

or

29/IV/08

 

So, for GTA V, they could easily do May.

 

V/xx/12

or

xx/V/12

 

[jjwilson]

I remember whenever they advertised GTA IV they would put:

 

IV/29/08

or

29/IV/08

 

So, for GTA V, they could easily do May.

 

V/xx/12

or

xx/V/12

 

i never saw this, do you have any of the adverts ?

[Chukkles]

I don't beleive they will hold back their ultimate seller so a smaller cult title can shine a bit more.

MP has a much more limited Fan base and no-one will buy that as a substitute for GTA whilst waiting for V.

 

I for one love MP games and would buy both games at any time they came out.

[MrcTOtheJ]

Name one major game that has EVER been released in June/July/August. I can think of absolutely zero.

 

It was baseless speculation pretty much, you know like just about everything in this section of the fourm.

 

Thing is they can release it when ever and turn a damn good profit as seen with IV, which as you said released in april which is odd and sold like hotcakes as far as I rember.

[kb8618]

I wouldn't mind an April release, but I'm sticking with June. If it doesn't come out by then, its probably due to a delay and will come out Sept - Oct. Jan/Feb aside from being way to close to now would kill MP sales, I'm not sure how it would affect it if V had an April release, but if its anything like F.E.A.R 3s numbers, it wouldn't do much. Really surprised that had such low sale numbers.

 

R* did say they didn't want to make the same mistake as they did with IV, we don't know what exactly they meant by that, it could be that they waited closer to the finish line to announce it, or the reason we don't even have a year, and are just not confident enough they can make the date they have in mind.

 

 

I say we get more info in Jan, Trailers in Jan, Apr, and final trailer at E3 2012 (June 5-7)

[NYC PATROL]

*cough bump

[cherrycola]

 

some notes:

GTA IV was slated for Oct. 2007, if GTA V releases

in October next year would be 4 years to that original date. Also would

be 3 years, 6 months from IV's "actual" release date.

 

No, that would be 5 years to the original release date of GTA IV, 4 years and 6 months from IV's actual release date, and it would mark the longest cycle between two main GTA games in the history of video games.

[Long_Haired_Boy]

 

Take-Two's fiscal year has changed to April 2012 - March 2013. Usually, to maximize profits, a game is released at the beginning of a fiscal year so it can run the span of the entire fiscal year. What's the point of releasing GTA V in October 2012, giving them a whopping 4 months to reap a profit on such a big game? This is the thing nobody seems to understand here, past GTA's were released in October because of the fiscal year. Not because it's some set in stone tradition.

This.

 

Also GTA IVs first trailer was released in late March, add 6 months and 2 weeks and you get the original release date before it was delayed, which was October 16 2007.

 

Now here's the interesting part, you add 6 months and 14 days to November 2nd and guess what you get.....

 

 

You got it: May 24th 2012

I do believe that GTA V will be release over the summer 2012. Then having that first DLC in October 2012.

[NYC PATROL]

some notes:

GTA IV was slated for Oct. 2007, if GTA V releases

in October next year would be 4 years to that original date. Also would

be 3 years, 6 months from IV's "actual" release date.

 

No, that would be 5 years to the original release date of GTA IV, 4 years and 6 months from IV's actual release date, and it would mark the longest cycle between two main GTA games in the history of video games.

woops, sorry for that error

 

*Fixed in 1st post

[Stripes1981]

May 24th is also the birthday of Sam Houser.

[Dick Valor]

Take-Two's fiscal year has changed to April 2012 - March 2013. Usually, to maximize profits, a game is released at the beginning of a fiscal year so it can run the span of the entire fiscal year. What's the point of releasing GTA V in October 2012, giving them a whopping 4 months to reap a profit on such a big game? This is the thing nobody seems to understand here, past GTA's were released in October because of the fiscal year. Not because it's some set in stone tradition.

Releasing GTA V in October does not entail that Take-Two must profit from the game during their fiscal 2012. The concern is that Take 2's shares will drop in fiscal 2013 if it sacrifices too many of V's initial sales to fiscal 2012. I don't think this should be too big of a concern, however, as 2013 could see the release of V DLC, an EFLS type disc-based release, etc. I wouldn't be surprised if they release a IV/V Complete Greatest Hits double pack in 2014 on PS3 and 360 like they did with III and VC for PS2. The point is that we probably won't see another GTA for quite some time and I suspect R*/Take-Two plan to milk the profits from V over the next couple years.

 

I'm just hoping it'll come out fall 2012 cause I'm an optimist. I know it won't be earlier because of MP3. Then again, you may be right that it's a spring 2013 release and we will all be the worse for it.