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When Can We Expect a Game Release?


Mister Pink
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Here is why I think that V will be released sooner rather than later:

 

- The major GTA's (III, VC, SA) have had between 5 to 7 months between announcement and release. GTA IV was a special case; it's long announce/release period had to do with the exclusivity deal with Microsoft and the fact they were creating a game on new hardware.

 

-Though October has overwhelmingly been the favoured release date for R* when it comes to the main GTAs, I believe this pattern was based on finishing the previous GTA in October (e.g. They finished Vice City in October 2002, had a little break, then started on SA). Since IV was finished in April 2008, I think this would influence the development cycle for V.

 

- Take-Two have recently changed the start of the financial year to April. It had previously been October. One could argue that releasing a big game at the start of the financial year maximizes the potential profit over the course of that financial year, and this is why GTA games have been released in October. Therefore, since financial 2013 starts in April, Take-Two will want to have the release of V soon after.

 

- The big problem with an early V that a lot of people have pointed out is the close proximity of Max Payne 3. This may not be as much of a problem as it seems. For one thing, Magic_Al suggests that a game generally makes the majority of its money soon after release, as the games retailers buy bulk in the run-up to release to cater to what demand they perceive to be. Release MP3 in late March, wait a couple of months, MP3 makes most of the sales it's going to make for the year, release V.

 

- On the same subject, releasing V soon after could drive sales for MP3; a lot more people are going to take notice of R* news now they're aware that V is a thing. This could make them notice MP3 too. This increases the likelihood that the casual gamer market will become more aware of it. But what does it matter, won't V take away those potential sales? Maybe, or maybe this same casual market will have a bit of disposable income, and want to buy a game either to pass the months before V or fill the void after they've played it to death. Now they're aware of MP3, a game from Rockstar that involves crime and shooting and stuff, there's more chance of them buying that, since they know they like at least one game by Rockstar already.

 

- On the same subject again, Take-Two don't seem to mind having games released close to each other; you know that MP3 is slated for March, right? Well, so is XCOM.

 

- Look at the clusterf*ck of AAA titles coming out at the moment. It's going to be like this next year, more than likely. V could dominate the market even now, but why try? Why not release in the late-spring/early summer, and maximize the profits in a time when there are fewer AAA releases?

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snip

Some very interesting points you made there especially regarding their financial year and releasing games close to each other. icon14.gif

 

I also added your post to the OP.

Edited by ThePinkFloydSound
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i like the 2405 theory. but when i learned that its housers birthday and its all over the games, i just think its houser being a douche and making sure no one at R* forgets his bday. the end credits on tbogt seem too early for V's release date to be on it. i would like a good counter argument against this though so WHY

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snip

Some very interesting points you made there especially regarding their financial year and releasing games close to each other. icon14.gif

 

I also added your post to the OP.

Thanks very much! biggrin.gif

 

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GTA IV First trailer was 29 March 2007 then the game was ment be released 6 months later than it had a six month delay.

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  • 4 weeks later...

So someone mentioned in another thread, I think miamivicecity, that they don't remember ever waiting more than 6 months after a trailer for a GTA. Maybe for IV but that was delayed. This gives me hope.

 

May does tie in with other Rockstar releases of late. There seems to be a summer opening to release these AAA titles a bit like the way they release the summer blockbuster films.

 

My guess is May but I also kind of wont be surprised if it's October. I will be dissaopointed though that they felt the need to release a trailer 1 year before release. Why would they do that? Fan and media pressure?

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Its still possible for R* to delay MP3 for technical reasons so they would delay GTA V too if its close to MP3 release date.

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Its still possible for R* to delay MP3 for technical reasons so they would delay GTA V too if its close to MP3 release date.

It's getting a bit late to delay it now, considering all the in-depth articles that are appearing. There's always a chance of something unforeseen happening, but I think if we get to the end of January without any delay announced, then it is coming out in March. Another Take-Two game set for March (XCOM) has already had its delay announced, so they must be pretty sure MP3 is on target.

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I hope its released after june. Any earlier and i fail school :L

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GUYS!!!! I have it!!!! Magic 8 ball just said first quarter of 2013. Bingo!!!!!!!!!!!!

if its the first quarter of 2013 i will eat my own shoes

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Without delay, I can totally see this come May/June. With them? August - October. I believe in all of this 2405 stuff, and also Staten and the 6 month gap is like a proof. And the whole "We aim not to loose it - For sale - 2405" Why would Rockstar do that? Either to just get us speculating like maniacs (which we do) or to send us a message, which I believe they did.

 

Imagine releasing a game that will sell millions and millions on the creators birthday? Especially knowing it will sell the most out of all their games ever released, in a much shorter time frame. That would be quite a birthday gift.

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  • 2 weeks later...

I was in Gamestop today and the guy said that a memo went around the stores saying the release for GTA V is the start of September. They're also taking reservations now.

 

They had the covers of the game (well, just the logos) in boxes at the front counter. That will be 5/6 months after Max Payne release. Sounds like it could be right.

 

I googled and found this...same info...

 

http://sillegamer.com/2011/10/25/grand-the...mestop-ireland/

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  • 2 months later...
Mister Pink

sorry for the bump but we're still getting loads of topics on release dates. They can all go in here.

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sorry for the bump but we're still getting loads of topics on release dates. They can all go in here.

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More news around march 16-22 and a release of late may to mid june.

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As long as its this year, i'm happy.

This^

 

i dont want to wait until 2013 to play GTA V, anytime this year would be fine by me

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1whitebuddah

i reckon its not coming out untill 2013, if you think it will come out in april or may then let god be with you

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ak47andgunnin

dont buy max payne 3. that way r* is forced to release GTA V this year. buy it after they release GTA V.

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dont buy max payne 3. that way r* is forced to release GTA V this year. buy it after they release GTA V.

You don't know that they're not already planning to release GTA V this year.

 

You also seem to think it's a good idea to "force" a game to be released, which means releasing it before it's done. It will be released when it's done.

 

Max Payne 3 and other games are essential to Rockstar's business. They need to make money in between GTA games. They cannot put out a GTA game every year without the series turning to crap.

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At earliest April 2012

 

At latest Oct/Nov 2012

 

Anywhere between that, i'll still be happy, as long its this year and not 2013. So I'm waiting as long as it takes. (hopefully not too long to wait)

 

Whilst i wait, i'll play GTA VCS,IV+EFLC. Uncharted 2 and 3. And GT5.

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dont buy max payne 3. that way r* is forced to release GTA V this year. buy it after they release GTA V.

Sorry but every game made by R* turns out to be a masterpiece.. so i'm going to buy Max Payne 3, and it will probably keep me busy until GTA V comes out

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dont buy max payne 3. that way r* is forced to release GTA V this year. buy it after they release GTA V.

1: No one buys Max Payne 3

2: Rockstar goes out of business

3: GTA V isn't released

4: ???

5: Profit

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Mister Pink

I'll be happy if i's this year too. I'm really getting bored with gaming now. I've a ton of unfinished games but I want a GTA. I tried playing IV again but I'm tired of that city. There' not much I can really do in that game.

 

I really need V. I hope it comes out in October.

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i don't understand why people think its going to be so soon?

 

its more than likely going to be this year, its more than likely going to be between october and december.

 

be realistic, why would they release one trailer, then nothing, then a month or 2 before "release date" put up another trailer whilst promoting another game.

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