Posted 17 July 2013 - 02:30 AM
Edited by brian., 17 July 2013 - 02:35 AM.
The probability is very likely that yes GTA V will outsell Call of Duty Ghosts. It's basically a given.
And MW2 would never have broken any of those records had GTA IV not directly preceded it and put all that hardware into living rooms. IV was a major role in moving consoles. At the time, I assumed that was why the PC version was delayed, and obviously the xbox timed exclusivity and all, but now, I can't explain it other than that they want to maximize profits by staggering platform launches and leading with only PS3 and 360 at first. That's alright, I don't mind waiting, and want to see them do well.
GTA IV broke all those records though, and then hasn't really been out since. CoD has been left to clean up the hunger for great content that GTA IV played a major role in creating. it has done really well, and Ghosts will put an end to the rumors that cod is "losing steam" due to innovations and we don't even know anything about MP in Ghosts yet. Even still, my prediction is that Ghosts is Call of Duty's best launch and best sales, and still doesn't top GTA V, a wholly more approachable and accessible title than Call of Duty in general.
When you see what MW1 did (which wasn't much - new consoles, low audience), then GTA IV came out and sold 20 million new consoles, then CoD has ridden as the king of sales while GTA is away, starting with MW2 which broke all the same records and IV and more records on top of it - it has continued to grow in popularity, friends have sold each other into FPS on call of duty, the audience has grown phenomenally through the strength of call of duty and about 6 other titles, including some console brand exclusives.
That said, both GTA V and CoD are poised to have the best year ever, in gaming history. GTA V will be the clear juggernaut of 2013, with CoD just behind it. GTA V will not only beat CoD, it will break all the same records as IV did, and the records that CoD has added to that list that gaming has dominated in entertainment for the past 5 years - GTA V is going to have the best launch in all the launch metrics. I don't know how it will do on the long tail, but probably very very well, especially if PC releases on steam down the road. Year one will be huge. You can take this to the bank, this is going to be the biggest game launch of all time, and it is going to create a phenominon around GTA that hasn't been felt since gaming shifted to a more online centric focus. GTA is about to be the big game again. CoD will be second biggest, and really only because it is just not as accessible as an adventure title such as GTA.
Even with simultaneous releases on PC, PS3, 360, PS4, and Comcast X1 Xbox, it will be very close, and GTA V is more likely than not the victor, hands down, take it to the president.
And the guy above me misunderstood the post he quoted. Basically, CoD haters are hipsters and fad chasers, not skilled game players. That game has more fans than detractors however.